Predictors of change differ for moderate and vigorous intensity physical activity and for weekdays and weekends: a longitudinal analysis
© Corder et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. 2013
Received: 18 February 2013
Accepted: 17 May 2013
Published: 28 May 2013
Predictors of physical activity (PA) change are rarely investigated separately for different PA intensities and for weekdays/weekends. We investigated whether individual-level predictors of one-year change in objectively-measured physical activity differ for moderate PA (MPA) and vigorous PA (VPA) and for weekends and weekdays.
Accelerometer-assessed PA (mins) was obtained at baseline and +1 year (n = 875, 41.5% male, Mean ± SD baseline age: 9.8 ± 0.4 years-old). Potential predictors (n = 38) were assessed at baseline from psychological (e.g. self-efficacy), socio-cultural (e.g. parent support) and environmental domains (e.g. land use). Associations between predictors and change in MPA (2000–3999 counts/minute (cpm)) and VPA (≥4000 cpm) separately for weekdays and weekends were studied using multi-level linear regression. Analyses were adjusted for school clustering, sex and baseline PA.
Weekend PA declined (MPA decline 4.6 ± 21.8 mins/day; VPA decline: 2.1 ± 20.1 mins/day; both p < 0.001) whereas weekday PA did not significantly change. Higher baseline PA and being a girl were associated with greater PA declines in all four outcomes; remaining predictors differed for MPA and VPA and/or weekdays and weekends. Family logistic support was associated with less of a decline in weekend MPA (CI 95%) 0.15 (0.05, 0.25) and VPA 0.19 (0.09, 0.29), and peer support with less of a decline in weekday MPA 0.18 (0.02, 0.34) and VPA 0.22 (0.06, 0.38).
Results highlight the relevance of investigating predictors of PA change separately for different PA intensities and for weekdays/weekends. In addition to continued focus on school PA promotion, more effort to target interventions during weekends, such as in the family and community appears important. Encouraging peer support to increase weekday PA and targeting parent support for weekend PA may be health promotion priorities.
KeywordsLongitudinal Behaviour change Childhood Determinants Physical activity Predictors
Physical activity in children has been associated with reduced risk of the metabolic syndrome [1, 2] and beneficial effects on mental health . Physical activity appears to decline with age throughout childhood and adolescence [4, 5] and inactive children may become inactive adults , resulting in a higher risk of health complications later in life . Although increasing physical activity among young people is a public health priority, few interventions have been shown to effectively increase physical activity among children [8–10].
Knowledge on potentially modifiable factors influencing physical activity is important to inform physical activity promotion strategies . However, a review of predictors of change in physical activity identified few consistent factors with which to inform intervention development . These inconsistent associations could be at least partly due to differential associations between individual predictors and intensity-specific physical activity outcomes . School-level predictors of physical activity may differ for moderate physical activity (MPA) and vigorous physical activity (VPA)  but there is limited evidence on factors from other domains of the socio-ecological model [12, 15]. Therefore examining individual-level predictors of MPA and VPA separately could help us identify more modifiable determinants which could inform physical activity promotion. In addition, this information could be useful for health promotion programs aiming to target specific activity intensities, for example VPA which appears to decline more rapidly than other activity intensities during adolescence  and may be more important than lower intensity activity for weight control [16, 17]. Taken together, this supports the relevance of an explorative study investigating predictors of MPA and VPA separately from overall physical activity and combined moderate and vigorous physical activity.
Differential physical activity declines have been identified for weekdays and weekend days in 10-11 year-old children  and there is some evidence that cross-sectional correlates of physical activity also differ for weekdays and weekend days . It appears logical that influences on children’s physical activity may differ on school days compared to non-school days, however, most research investigating predictors of objectively-measured physical activity in children uses average values over all days of measurement . This could limit the identification of predictors specific to weekday or weekend physical activity which could be important to successfully target physical activity promotion interventions during either of these times.
We aim to test the hypothesis that psychological, socio-cultural and environmental factors will be differentially associated with one-year change in MPA and VPA on weekends and weekdays in 9–10 year-old British children.
Study design and setting
The SPEEDY study is a population-based longitudinal cohort study, investigating factors associated with physical activity and dietary behaviour in 9-10 year-old (Year 5) children attending schools in the county of Norfolk, UK . Ethical approval for the whole study was obtained from the University of East Anglia research ethics committee.
Full details on participant recruitment and study procedures for the SPEEDY study baseline data collection have been described elsewhere . Briefly, schools in Norfolk were purposively sampled to achieve urban and rural heterogeneity. From 227 eligible schools (those with 12 Year 5 children), 157 were approached and 92 schools were recruited. All Year 5 children (n = 3619) at the 92 schools were invited to participate. Researchers attended each school to introduce the study and distribute information packs for children and their parents. In total, 2064 children provided parental consent to participate and were measured at baseline (57% response rate).
Data collection procedures
Baseline data collection took place during term between April and July 2007. Trained research assistants visited schools to take physical measurements, administer child questionnaires, fit accelerometers and distribute a home pack (containing an accelerometer diary, instruction sheet, questionnaire and food diary) to each child. Participants were asked to return the home packs to school one week later.
Follow-up data collection took place one year later (April and July 2008). Study information sheets and consent forms were mailed to all 2064 initial participants. Those consenting were mailed an accelerometer and a detailed instruction sheet asking participants to wear the monitor for one week and return it by mail using an addressed pre-paid envelope. Individual participants were measured at approximately the same time of year as at baseline.
Physical activity measurement
At both baseline and follow-up, physical activity was objectively assessed using the Actigraph accelerometer (Model GT1M). The Actigraph has been shown to accurately assess energy expenditure in European children during free-living conditions [20, 21]. The monitor was set to record at 5-second epochs. Children were asked to wear the monitors during waking hours for 7 days and to remove them whilst bathing, showering and swimming.
Physical activity data processing
Accelerometry data were analyzed using a batch processing program (MAHUffe: contact corresponding author for information) to remove any data recorded after 11 pm and before 6 am. Periods of ten minutes or more that had continuous zero activity counts [22–24] and any days with less than 500 minutes of recording  were excluded. To maximize participant inclusion it was not necessary to have both weekend-day and weekday data at both time points. A minimum of 2 days of weekday data and 1 day of weekend data was required for inclusion in the weekday and weekend analyses respectively. The data was summarized overall and separately for weekdays and weekend days as time spent in MPA and VPA. Thresholds of 2000 cpm and 4000 cpm were used to define time in MPA and VPA, respectively [25, 26]. These data were then standardized to account for potential differences in wear time between baseline and follow-up and presented as a percentage of the day, for example: change in MPA = ((follow-up MPA mins/follow-up worn time)*100) - ((baseline MPA mins/baseline worn time)*100).
Descriptive characteristics of potential predictors of change in physical activity
Mean (SD) or %
Biological and socio-demographic
Sex (% male)
Height was measured to the nearest millimetre (Leicester height measure, Chasmors Ltd., Leicester, UK). A non-segmental bio-impedance scale was used to measure weight (to the nearest 0.1 kilogram) and impedance in light clothing (Tanita, type TBF-300A. Tokyo, Japan). Height and weight were used to calculate body mass index (BMI, kg/m2). British reference data was used to calculate z scores 
Parental education (% >16 years)
Parents self-reported their age at leaving full time education (reported as 3 categories and dichotomized into ≤16 years, and >16 years of age)
Index of Multiple Deprivation
Computed using parent-reported home postcode. This measure combines information on deprivation from seven domains: income, employment, health, education, barriers to housing and services, living environment and crime. The derivation of this measure is described in detail elsewhere  and quartiles were derived for use in this analysis.
PA preference (% with preference for PA)
Sum of 4 questions asking: I would prefer to: play indoors or outdoors; walk or watch TV, run or walk; watch TV or run. Active and inactive options coded 1 and 0 respectively. Dichotomised with ≤2 as preference for inactivity; ≥3 as preference for PA recoded as 0 (reference category) and 1 respectively. 
Self efficacy in overcoming barriers (% high)
Child answered Yes (1) or No (0) to: I can do something active even: if it is hot or cold outside; if I have a lot of homework; no matter how tired I feel. Dichotomised as low self-efficacy if score ≤2, high self-efficacy if scoring 3; recoded as 0 (reference category) and 1 respectively. 
Self-efficacy in support seeking (% high)
Child answered Yes (1) or No (0) to: I can ask my parent to: sign me up for PA; my parent to do PA with me; my best friend to do something active with me. Dichotomised as low self-efficacy if score ≤2, high self-efficacy if scoring 3; recoded as 0 (reference category) and 1 respectively. 
Personal barriers (% with barriers)
Child answered Yes (1) or No (0) to: Are you ever stopped from doing PA because: there you want to watch TV; you don’t think you’re good at PA; you don’t like PA; and you might get hurt. Responses were summed and dichotomised to 0 (reference category) reporting no barriers and those reporting ≥1 barriers as having personal barriers (1). [35, 36]
Lack of PA equipment
Peer support (% reporting peer support)
Child answered Yes (1) or No (0) to: During a typical week, do the following things happen: my friends do PA with me; I ask friends to do PA with me; My friends ask me to do PA with them. Responses were summed and then recoded as 0 no peer support and ≤1 as peer support. 
Child answered 1 (Never), 2 (once/twice/week), 3 (nearly daily), 4 (everyday) to: During a normal week, someone in my family: encourages me to do PA, tells me I am doing well at PA, tells me PA is good for my health. Responses were summed range 3–12. 
Parental logistic support
Child answered 1 (Never), 2 (once/twice/week), 3 (nearly daily), 4 (everyday) to: During a normal week, someone in my family: does PA with me, takes me somewhere to do PA, watches me do PA. Responses were summed range 3–12. [18, 37]
Parents reported how often they restrict their child watching TV, playing computer games and using the computer with response categories N/A (0), never (0), rarely (1), sometimes (1), often (3) and very often (4). Responses were summed with range 0–12. 
Parents reported how often they restrict their child playing outside or walking/cycling to a friends house with response categories N/A (0), never (0), rarely (1), sometimes (1), often (3) and very often (4). Responses were summed with range 0–8. 
Family cohesiveness (times/week)
Parents reported the number of times/week they do the following activities together as a family: eating meals, reading, sport, visiting family/friends, going to the park, swimming, cycling, watching TV, cooking with response categories as 0, 1–4 and >4 recoded as 0, 2.5 and 4.5 respectively and then summed with range 5–40.5. 
Freedom to play (% allowed)
Parents reported how often they allow their child to play outside anywhere within the neighbourhood with response categories never (0), rarely (1), sometimes (1), often (3) and very often (4). Dichotomised as ‘Not allowed’ (never & rarely) and ‘Allowed’ (sometimes, often and very often).
Games console at home (% yes)
Children reported whether they had a games console at home with responses as Yes (1) and No (0) 
Electronic equipment in the bedroom (% yes)
Children reported whether they had a TV, PC or games console in their bedroom with responses as Yes (1) and No (0) which were summed (range 0–3) and dichotomised into (0 reference category) no media in bedroom and (1) media in bedroom. 
Travel mode to school (% active)
Children reported how they usually travel to school. Car and Bus/train were recoded as 0 (passive) and walk and cycle as 1 (active). 
Living in a cul-de-sac (% yes)
GIS was used to determine whether the home address was a cul-de-sac, coded as 0 no (reference category) and 1 yes.
Effective walkable area
Measure of neighbourhood connectivity. Calculated by dividing the total neighbourhood area (the area reached via the street network within 800 m from the home) by the potential walkable area (the area generated using a circular buffer with a radius of 800 m from the home). Higher values indicate higher walkability  (GIS-derived)
Woodland percentage (log%)
The percentage of participant’s neighbourhood covered by woodland or green space. Logged due to skewness.
Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index (HHI)
Land use mix in the participant’s neighbourhood, calculated as ∑(landusepercentage)2. A high HHI indicates low variation in land cover (presented higher and lower split by median) .
- Higher land use mix
- Lower land use mix
Distance to green space (log km)
Distances (in km) to nearest green space (excluding parks), calculated as the shortest route from home address via the street network, assuming use of the nearest entrance. Logged due to skewness.
Distance to sport venue (log km)
Distances (in km) to nearest sport venue, calculated as the shortest route from home address via the street network, assuming use of the nearest entrance. Logged due to skewness.
Distance to school (log km)
Distances (in km) to school, calculated as the shortest route from home address via the street network, assuming use of the nearest entrance. Logged due to skewness.
Availability of parks (% yes)
Child reported perceived availability of parks. Children answered yes (1) or no (0) to: There are playgrounds, parks, or sports halls close to my home that I can use. 
Differences in baseline characteristics by gender and between children with and without follow-up physical activity data were tested using Students t-tests or chi2-square tests for continuous and categorical variables, respectively. Differences in physical activity between baseline and follow-up were assessed using paired t-tests.
Simple associations between change in physical activity and potential predictors were assessed using multi-level multiple linear regression, to allow for clustering at the school level. Analyses were carried out separately for weekday and weekend days for change in time spent in MPA and change in time spent in VPA. Variables that reached p < 0.10 in the simple analyses were included in multiple multilevel linear regression models for the relevant outcome. Variables were subsequently manually removed one at a time if they did not reach p < 0.05, starting with the variable with the highest p-value. All analyses were adjusted for sex due to sex differences seen previously . All models were adjusted for baseline outcome variable as the aim was to determine whether predictors could be detected independent of baseline physical activity levels . Analyses were carried out using Stata 11.0 (Statacorp, College Station, TX).
Of the 2064 original SPEEDY participants invited to take part in the follow-up measurements, 1267 (61.4%) responded, of which 1019 (49.4% of original sample) consented to take part. Of these, 954 (93.6%) returned an activity monitor containing data. Valid data on change in weekday PA was obtained for 854 volunteers (41.4% of original sample) and for 718 volunteers (34.8% of original sample) for weekend analyses (1 weekend day of 500 minutes at both baseline and follow-up). Those included in this analysis were more likely to be girls (p = 0.01), to have a higher BMI z-score (p < 0.01) and to be of higher SES (all SES indicators, p < 0.01) compared to the remainder of the sample at baseline. No statistically significant differences were observed in baseline physical activity level.
Table 1 presents the baseline characteristics of the 875 participants included in one or both weekday and weekend analyses for each potential predictor. Participants were 9.8 (0.4) years-old at baseline and 41.5% male.
Time spent in moderate and vigorous physical activity for weekdays and weekend days
P value for change
Weekday(N = 854)
P = 0.64
P = 0.25
MPA (% day)
P = 0.84
VPA (% day)
P = 0.29
Weekend (N = 718)
P < 0.001
P = 0.005
MPA (% day)
P < 0.001
VPA (% day)
P = 0.014
Simple associations between predictors and change in moderate and vigorous physical activity for weekdays and weekends
Weekday(N = 854)
Weekend day(N = 718)
% change MPA
% change VPA
% change MPA
% change VPA
β (CI 95%)
β (CI 95%)
β (CI 95%)
β (CI 95%)
Biological and socio-demographic factors
0.22 (−0.01, 0.45)#
0.02 (−0.22, 0.26)
0.20 (−0.21, 0.62)
−0.32 (−0.80, 0.16)
Sex (ref: boys)
−0.53 (−0.79, -0.27)***
−0.03 (−0.04, -0.02)***
−0.67 (−1.10, -0.24)**
−0.64 (−1.06, -0.22)**
−0.03 (−0.14, 0.09)
0.02 (−0.06, 0.09)
−0.04 (−0.20, 0.13)
−0.27 (−0.44, -0.10)**
Parent education (high vs. low)
−0.22 (−0.46, 0.01)#
−0.23 (−0.47, 0.02)#
−0.22 (−0.61, 0.17)
−0.01 (−0.32, 0.29)
−0.01 (−0.02, 0.01)
−0.01 (−0.01, 0.01)
0.016 (−0.01, 0.04)
0.17 (−0.01, 0.04)
PA preference (high vs. low)
0.06 (−0.16, 0.28)
−0.04 (−0.23, 0.15)
0.56 (0.18, 0.93)**
0.48 (0.15, 0.81)**
SE for overcoming barriers (high vs. low)
0.09 (−0.11, 0.30)
−0.05 (−0.25, 0.15)
0.38 (0.008, 0.75)*
0.11 (−0.23, 0.44)
SE for support seeking (high vs. low)
−0.03 (−0.27, 0.22)
0.02 (−0.21, 0.26)
−0.05 (−0.47, 0.37)
0.14 (−0.25, 0.54)
Personal barriers (high vs. low)
−0.05 (−0.26, 0.16)
0.10 (−0.08, 0.28)
−0.11 (−0.50, 0.27)
−0.23 (−0.57, 0.11)
Home PA equipment (high vs. low)
0.04 (−0.20, 0.28)
0.31 (0.08, 0.54)**
−0.63 (−1.10, -0.17)**
−0.28 (−0.66, 0.09)
Peer support (high vs. low)
0.17 (0.01, 0.33)*
0.22 (0.05, 0.38)**
0.35 (−0.013, 0.72)#
0.25 (−0.12, 0.62)
0.01 (−0.03, 0.06)
0.01 (−0.04, 0.05)
0.02 (−0.06, 0.10)
0.07 (−0.10, 0.14)#
Family logistic support
0.03 (−0.02, 0.08)
0.01 (−0.06, 0.06)
0.18 (0.09, 0.27)***
0.18 (0.08, 0.29)***
0.01 (−0.04, 0.05)
0.03 (−0.01, 0.06)
0.02 (−0.05, 0.08)
−0.03 (−0.10, 0.03)
0.01 (−0.06, 0.08)
0.01 (−0.05, 0.07)
−0.03 (−0.016, 0.10)
−0.05 (−0.17, 0.07)
−0.01 (−0.02, 0.02)
−0.01 (−0.03, 0.01)
0.015 (−0.03, 0.05)
0.04 (−0.01, 0.07)#
Freedom to play (yes vs. no)
−0.01 (−0.22, 0.20)
0.08 (−0.14, 0.30)
0.01 (−0.33, 0.35)
−0.27 (−0.57, 0.04)#
Games console at home (yes vs. no)
0.32 (−0.01, 0.63)#
0.06 (−0.04, -0.02)***
−0.14 (−0.78, 0.50)
−0.02 (−0.61, 0.57)
Electronic equipment in bedroom (yes vs. no)
0.27 (0.02, 0.52)**
0.15 (−0.04, 0.34)
0.13 (−0.29, 0.55)
0.12 (−0.32, 0.57)
Active Travel to school (active vs. passive)
0.10 (−0.13, 0.33)
0.06 (−0.11, 0.34)
0.06 (−0.31, 0.43)
−0.17 (−0.48, 0.14)
Living in a cul de sac (yes vs. no)
−0.22 (−0.47, 0.02)#
0.08 (−0.15, 0.30)
−0.17 (−0.55, 0.20)
0.06 (−0.27, 0.39)
Effective walkable area
−0.57 (−0.37, 0.23)
−0.49 (−1.09, 0.12)
−0.27 (−1.5, 0.97)
0.13 (−1.05, 1.30)
Woodland percentage (log%)
−0.05 (−0.17, 0.07)
0.04 (−0.06, 0.14)
0.04 (−0.14, 0.23)
0.15 (−0.02, 0.32)#
Land use mix (Lower v. higher)
−0.28 (−0.51, -0.05)**
−0.16 (−0.36, 0.04)
−0.31 (−0.68, 0.05)#
0.11 (−0.26, 0.48)
Distance to green space (log km)
−0.01 (−0.14, 0.11)
−0.01 (−0.12, 0.10)
−0.08 (−0.26, 0.10)
−0.04 (−0.19, 0.12)
Distance to sport venue (log km)
0.05 (−0.06, 0.17)
0.04 (−0.05, 0.14)
0.14 (−0.09, 0.36)
0.07 (−0.12, 0.27)
Distance to school (log km)
−0.09 (−0.18, -0.01)*
−0.10 (−0.18, -0.02)**
0.06 (−0.09, 0.22)
0.03 (−0.16, 0.21)
Availability of parks (yes vs. no)
0.18 (−0.06, 0.43)
0.08 (−0.20, 0.36)
0.10 (−0.39, 0.59)
−0.05 (−0.57, 0.47)
Final adjusted associations between predictors and change in moderate and vigorous physical activity for weekdays and weekends
Weekday(N = 854)
HHI (Land use mix)
Distance to school (log)
Weekend day (N = 718)
Family logistic support
Family logistic support
Objectively-measured MPA and VPA declined on weekends but not weekdays over one year in British children. Higher baseline physical activity and being a girl were consistent predictors for greater declines in MPA and VPA on both weekdays and weekends. Other predictors differed across activity intensity and/or day of the week and included those from multiple domains of the socio-ecological model. Participants reporting higher parental logistic support experienced less of a weekend decline in MPA and VPA and those reporting peer support for activity had less of a weekday decline in MPA and VPA.
There is little data available with which to compare our results as few studies have examined predictors of change in physical activity using objective data and fewer have stratified analyses for MPA and VPA on weekdays and weekends [11, 12]. A review of predictors of change in physical activity only identified previous physical activity, self-efficacy, perceived behavioural control and intention as consistent predictors of change in overall physical activity among 10-13 year-old children . Current results showed previous physical activity level to be associated with all four outcome variables used here. An association with self-efficacy for overcoming barriers was only found in the simple model for weekend MPA . Neither perceived behavioural control nor intention to become physically active was measured here. Nevertheless, our findings of largely different predictors for MPA and VPA on weekdays and weekends support the relevance of investigating predictors of change in more specific outcome variables than overall physical activity or combined moderate and vigorous physical activity.
Aside from supporting the investigation of predictors of physical activity separately by activity intensity and weekends and weekdays, this study has provided some potential intervention targets. Participants reporting greater peer and parent support for physical activity experienced less of a decline in weekday and weekend physical activity respectively. The association with family support contrasts the findings of no association in longitudinal research [40–42] but supports cross-sectional evidence , although this is the first study differentiating the associations for different times of the week. Perhaps the lack of consensus in the literature may be partly due to the relevance of different support roles at specific times of the week. Our results appear logical in that parent support may be more relevant at weekends when children are more likely to be with their family, whereas peer support is more relevant on weekdays.
Participants reporting the highest tertile of parent support experienced a weekend VPA decline of approximately 1.9 minutes less than participants in the lowest group of parent support. This is equivalent to 7% of total baseline VPA and it is therefore likely that increasing parent or peer support for physical activity may be appropriate only as one component of a more complex physical activity promotion intervention. Although our results indicate that both parent and peer support may be important for preventing physical activity declines during late childhood it is currently unknown what is the best way to engage parents in youth physical activity promotion . In addition, these children are about to enter adolescence and it is also uncertain to what extent the importance of peer support surpasses family support for physical activity as children age . Nevertheless, our results suggest that physical activity interventions in late childhood may benefit from targeting weekend physical activity by increasing parental involvement, specifically logistic support, which includes being active with the child, providing transport and watching them do activity.
Previous data from this cohort indicated that participants with a higher body fat percentage had a greater decline in MVPA . In the current analyses BMI z-score only remained in the final model for weekend VPA. Other evidence regarding the association between anthropometry and physical activity declines among children is inconclusive [45–50]. This lack of consensus and our varying results could be due to differential associations between different anthropometry indicators and intensity-specific physical activity outcomes. As a higher baseline BMI z-score appears to be associated with a greater decline in weekend VPA, this perhaps partly supports recent suggestions that VPA may be more important than lower intensity activity for weight control [16, 17], and that body composition predicts changes in activity more strongly than the reverse [2, 51]. An examination of both physical activity and anthropometric measures at baseline and follow-up would be necessary to further examine these associations. This may suggest that investigating predictors of VPA separately from combined moderate and vigorous physical activity may be particularly relevant for physical activity promotion with the aim of obesity prevention and control.
Strengths and limitations
This study builds on the relatively small but expanding body of longitudinal high quality research on predictors of physical activity change. Further, these results indicate that predictors of change in physical activity appear to differ for MPA and VPA and over weekdays and weekends. This well-characterized large cohort allows for investigation of a wide selection of predictors of change with accurately measured exposures and stratified outcome variables. Accelerometry data should more accurately represent physical activity than a questionnaire but is not able to accurately assess some activities such as swimming and cycling . The majority of potential determinants investigated have been used previously; however, some of these were developed for this study. Although all questions were pilot tested in the appropriate age group prior to use, we must acknowledge that while it is unlikely, it is possible that respondents could attribute a different meaning to some of the items than we do. Only 49.4% of the baseline population consented to participate with boys and children of lower SES more likely to be excluded from analyses. Although no differences were observed for baseline physical activity levels, the differential drop-out limits the generalisability of our observations. The weekday data used here includes both school time and out of school time and we are not able to disentangle how much of the decline occurs at school and how much is outside school. Previous examination of hourly physical activity change in this cohort indicated greater declines during free time , therefore it is likely that the majority of the decline occurs out of school. There is controversy as to the best way to address the analysis of change, however, adjusting for baseline levels allowed us to examine potential predictors while assuming the same initial physical activity level and was considered appropriate to address regression to the mean . We acknowledge the large number of statistical tests in this exploratory study and individual results should therefore be interpreted with caution.
Longitudinal studies examining the relative contributions of MPA and VPA to the physical decline during adolescence, and how change differs over weekdays and weekends, could be valuable to better target physical activity promotion. Further, the investigation of predictors of change in physical activity specifically for MPA/VPA and weekdays/weekends could aid the design of physical activity promotion interventions. Physical activity declined more during weekends compared to weekdays so it is possible that schools may already be protective of declines which could otherwise be of the magnitude observed at weekends. Therefore our results suggest that preventing declines at weekends may have the biggest impact on physical activity maintenance and therefore investigation of predictors of change specific to weekends appears relevant. In order to target weekend physical activity, further emphasis on developing family and community based interventions and improving recruitment and retention in these challenging research domains may be especially important. These results also reinforce the importance of support from others regarding changes in children’s physical activity as parental logistic support appeared protective of a weekend decline in MPA and VPA and peer support protective against a weekday decline in MPA and VPA.
These results highlight the importance of investigating time- and intensity-specific predictors of change in physical activity and provide some suggestions for targeting physical activity promotion interventions accordingly. In addition to continued focus on school PA promotion, more effort to target interventions during weekends, such as in the family and community appears important. Focusing on peer support to encourage weekday physical activity and parent support during weekends could be important targets as part of more complex physical activity promotion programs.
Kirsten Corder are Christopher Craggs are joint first author.
Counts per minute
Geographical information systems
Moderate physical activity
Sport, Physical activity and Eating behaviour: Environmental Determinants in Young people
Vigorous physical activity.
The SPEEDY study is funded by the National Prevention Research Initiative (http://www.npri.org.uk), consisting of the following Funding Partners: British Heart Foundation; Cancer Research UK; Department of Health; Diabetes UK; Economic and Social Research Council; Medical Research Council; Health and Social Care Research and Development Office for the Northern Ireland; Chief Scientist Office, Scottish Government Health Directorates; Welsh Assembly Government and World Cancer Research Fund [Reference G0501294; Grant ID 75368]. We would like to thank the schools, children and parents for their participation in the SPEEDY study. This work was also supported by the Medical Research Council [Unit Programme number U106179474] and the Centre for Diet and Activity Research (CEDAR), a UKCRC Public Health Research: Centre of Excellence. Funding from the British Heart Foundation, Economic and Social Research Council, Medical Research Council, the National Institute for Health Research, and the Wellcome Trust, under the auspices of the UK Clinical Research Collaboration, is gratefully acknowledged. We also thank everyone who helped with the data collection and Norfolk Children’s Services for their invaluable input and support. In addition, we would like to thank Annie Schiff for help with follow-up data collection, Stephen Sharp for his statistical advice and Rebekah Steele for preparing the baseline physical activity data for these analyses. We also thank Kate Westgate and Stefanie Mayle from the physical activity technical team at the MRC Epidemiology Unit for their assistance in processing the accelerometer data.
- Janssen I, Leblanc AG: Systematic review of the health benefits of physical activity and fitness in school-aged children and youth. Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act. 2010, 7: 40-10.1186/1479-5868-7-40.View Article
- Ekelund U, Luan J, Sherar LB, Esliger DW, Griew P, Cooper A: Moderate to vigorous physical activity and sedentary time and cardiometabolic risk factors in children and adolescents. JAMA. 2012, 307: 704-712. 10.1001/jama.2012.156.View Article
- Smith A, Biddle S: Youth physical activity and sedentary behavior. 2008, Champaign, IL: Human Kinetics
- Corder K, van Sluijs EM, Ekelund U, Jones AP, Griffin SJ: Changes in children’s physical activity over 12 months: longitudinal results from the SPEEDY study. Pediatrics. 2010, 126: e926-e935. 10.1542/peds.2010-0048.View Article
- Dumith SC, Gigante DP, Domingues MR, Kohl HW: Physical activity change during adolescence: a systematic review and a pooled analysis. Int J Epid. 2011, 40: 685-698. 10.1093/ije/dyq272.View Article
- Telema R, Yang X, Viikari J, Valimaki I, Wanne O, Raitakari O: Physical activity from childhood to adulthood a 21-year tracking study. Am J Prev Med. 2005, 28: 267-273. 10.1016/j.amepre.2004.12.003.View Article
- Khaw K-T, Wareham N, Bingham S, Welch A, Luben R, Day N: Combined impact of health behaviours and mortality in Men and women: the EPIC-norfolk prospective population study. PLoS Med. 2008, 5: e12-10.1371/journal.pmed.0050012.View Article
- Kriemler S, Meyer U, Martin E, van Sluijs EM, Andersen LB, Martin BW: Effect of school-based interventions on physical activity and fitness in children and adolescents: a review of reviews and systematic update. Brit J Sports Med. 2011, 45: 923-930. 10.1136/bjsports-2011-090186.View Article
- van Sluijs E, McMinn A, Griffin S: Effectiveness of interventions to promote physical activity in children and adolescents: systematic review of controlled trials. Brit Med J. 2007, 335 (7622): 703-10.1136/bmj.39320.843947.BE.View Article
- van Sluijs EM, Kriemler S, McMinn AM: The effect of community and family interventions on young people’s physical activity levels: a review of reviews and updated systematic review. Brit J Sports Med. 2011, 45: 914-922. 10.1136/bjsports-2011-090187.View Article
- Corder K, Ogilvie D, van Sluijs EM: Invited commentary: physical activity over the life course–whose behavior changes, when, and why?. Am J Epid. 2009, 170: 1078-1081. 10.1093/aje/kwp273. discussion 1082–1073View Article
- Craggs C, Corder K, van Sluijs EM, Griffin SJ: Determinants of change in physical activity in children and adolescents: a systematic review. Am J Prev Med. 2011, 40: 645-658. 10.1016/j.amepre.2011.02.025.View Article
- Corder K, Sharp S, Atkin A, Griffin S, Jones A, Ekelund U, van Sluijs E: Change in objectively measured physical activity during the transition to adolescence: targets for intervention. Under review
- Mantjes JA, Jones AP, Corder K, Jones NR, Harrison F, Griffin SJ, van Sluijs EM: School related factors and 1yr change in physical activity amongst 9–11 year old English schoolchildren. Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act. 2012, 9: 153-10.1186/1479-5868-9-153.View Article
- Sallis J, Owen N, Fisher E: Ecological models of health behaviour. Health behavior and health education: theory, research and practice. Edited by: Glanz K, Rimer B, Viswanath K. 2008, San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 465-485. 4
- Steele RM, van Sluijs EM, Cassidy A, Griffin SJ, Ekelund U: Targeting sedentary time or moderate- and vigorous-intensity activity: independent relations with adiposity in a population-based sample of 10-y-old British children. Am J Clin Nutr. 2009, 90: 1185-1192. 10.3945/ajcn.2009.28153.View Article
- Janssen I, Ross R: Vigorous intensity physical activity is related to the metabolic syndrome independent of the physical activity dose. Int J Epid. 2012, 41: 1132-40. 10.1093/ije/dys038.View Article
- McMinn AM, Griffin SJ, Jones AP, van Sluijs EM: Family and home influences on children’s after-school and weekend physical activity. Eur J Public Health. 2012, Apr 29. [Epub ahead of print]
- Van Sluijs E, Skidmore P, Mwanza K, Jones A, Callaghan A, Ekelund U, Harrison F, Harvey I, Panter J, Wareham N: Physical activity and dietary behaviour in a population-based sample of British 10-year old children: the SPEEDY study Sport, Physical activity and Eating behaviour: Environmental Determinants in Young people. BMC Publ Health. 2008, 8: 388-10.1186/1471-2458-8-388.View Article
- Ekelund U, Åman J, Westerterp K: Is the ArteACC index a valid indicator of free-living physical activity in adolescents?. Obes Res. 2003, 11: 793-801. 10.1038/oby.2003.110.View Article
- Ekelund U, Sjöström M, Yngve A, Poortvliet E, Nilsson A, Froberg K, Wedderkopp N, Westerterp K: Physical activity assessed by activity monitor and doubly labelled water in children. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2001, 33: 275-281.View Article
- Eiberg H, Hasselstrom H, Gronfeldt V, Froberg K, Svensson J, Andersen LB: Maximum oxygen uptake and objectively measured physical activity in Danish children 6–7 years of age: the Copenhagen school child intervention study. Brit J Sports Med. 2005, 39: 725-730. 10.1136/bjsm.2004.015230.View Article
- Mattocks C, Ness A, Leary S, Tilling K, Blair S, Shield J, Deere K, Saunders J, Kirkby J, Davey Smith G: Use of accelerometers in a large field-based study of childen: protocols, design issues, and effects on precision. J Phys Act Health. 2008, 5: S98-S111.
- Riddoch CJ, Bo Andersen L, Bo Andersen L, Wedderkopp N, Harro M, Klasson-Heggebo L, Sardinha LB, Cooper AR, Ekelund U: Physical activity levels and patterns of 9- and 15-yr-old European children. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2004, 36: 86-92. 10.1249/01.MSS.0000106174.43932.92.View Article
- Brage S, Brage N, Wedderkopp N, Froberg K: Reliability and validity of the computer science and applications accelerometer in a mechanical setting. Meas Phys Educ Exerc Sci. 2003, 7: 101-119. 10.1207/S15327841MPEE0702_4.View Article
- Trost S, Ward D, Moorehead S, Watson P, Riner W, Burke J: Validity of the computer and science and applications (CSA) activity monitor in children. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 1998, 30: 629-633. 10.1097/00005768-199804000-00023.View Article
- Sallis JF, Prochaska JJ, Taylor WC: A review of correlates of physical activity of children and adolescents. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2000, 32: 963-975.View Article
- van der Horst K, Chin A, Paw M, Twisk J, van Mechelen W: A brief review on correlates of physical activity and sedentariness in youth. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2007, 39: 1241-1250. 10.1249/mss.0b013e318059bf35.View Article
- Ferreira I, van der Horst K, Wendel-Vos W, Kremers S, van Lenthe F, Brug J: Environmental correlates of physical activity in youth - a review and update. Obes Rev. 2006, 8: 129-154.View Article
- Panter JR, Jones AP, van Sluijs EM, Griffin SJ: Attitudes, social support and environmental perceptions as predictors of active commuting behaviour in school children. J Epid Comm Health. 2010, 64: 41-48. 10.1136/jech.2009.086918.View Article
- 2009 World population data sheet. 2009, http://www.prb.org.
- Noble M, McLennan D, Wilkinson K, Whitworth A, Barnes H: The english indices of deprivation. 2007, http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20120919132719/http://www.communities.gov.uk/documents/communities/pdf/733520.pdf.
- Sallis JF, McKenzie TL, Alcaraz JE, Kolody B, Hovell MF, Nader PR: Project SPARK. Effects of physical education on adiposity in children. Ann N Y Acad Sci. 1993, 699: 127-136. 10.1111/j.1749-6632.1993.tb18844.x.View Article
- Saunders R, Pate R, Felton G, Dowda M, Weinrich M, Ward D, Parsons M, Baranowski T: Development of questionnaires to measure psychosocial influences on children’s physical activity. Prev Med. 1997, 26: 241-247. 10.1006/pmed.1996.0134.View Article
- Ommundsen Y, Page A, Po-Wen K, Cooper AR: Cross-cultural, age and gender validation of a computerised questionnaire measuring personal, social and environmental associations with children’s physical activity: The European Youth Heart Study. Int J Behav Nutr Phys Act. 2008, 5: 29-10.1186/1479-5868-5-29.View Article
- Salmon J, Timperio A, Telford A, Carver A, Crawford D: Association of family environment with Children’s television viewing and with Low level of physical activity. Obes Res. 2005, 13: 1939-1951. 10.1038/oby.2005.239.View Article
- Prochaska JJ, Rodgers MW, Sallis JF: Association of parent and peer support with adolescent physical activity. Res Q Exerc Sport. 2002, 73: 206-210. 10.1080/02701367.2002.10609010.View Article
- Panter JR, Jones AP, Van Sluijs EM, Griffin SJ: Neighborhood, route, and school environments and children’s active commuting. Am J Prev Med. 2010, 38: 268-278. 10.1016/j.amepre.2009.10.040.View Article
- Fitzmaurice G: A conundrum in the analysis of change. Nutr. 2001, 17: 360-361. 10.1016/S0899-9007(00)00593-1.View Article
- Crawford D, Cleland V, Timperio A, Salmon J, Andrianopoulos N, Roberts R, Giles-Corti B, Baur L, Ball K: The longitudinal influence of home and neighbourhood environments on children’s body mass index and physical activity over 5 years: the CLAN study. Int J Obes. 2010, 34: 1177-1187. 10.1038/ijo.2010.57.View Article
- DiLorenzo TM, Stucky-Ropp RC, Vander Wal JS, Gotham HJ JS: Determinants of exercise among children. II. A longitudinal analysis. Prev Med. 1998, 27: 470-477. 10.1006/pmed.1998.0307.View Article
- Duncan S, Duncan T, Stryker L, Chaumeton N: A cohort-sequential latent growth model of physical activity from ages 12 to 17 years. Ann Behav Med. 2007, 33: 80-89. 10.1207/s15324796abm3301_9.View Article
- O’Connor TM, Jago R, Baranowski T: Engaging parents to increase youth physical activity a systematic review. Am J Prev Med. 2009, 37: 141-149. 10.1016/j.amepre.2009.04.020.View Article
- Jackson C, Henderson M, Frank J, Haw S: An overview of prevention of multiple risk behaviour in adolescence and young adulthood. J Publ Health. 2012, 34: 31-40. 10.1093/pubmed/fdr113.View Article
- Barnett TA, O’Loughlin J, Paradis G: One- and two-year predictors of decline in physical activity among inner-city schoolchildren. Am J Prev Med. 2002, 23: 121-128. 10.1016/S0749-3797(02)00464-6.View Article
- Hampson SE, Andrews JA, Peterson M, Duncan SC: A cognitive-behavioral mechanism leading to adolescent obesity: children’s social images and physical activity. Ann Behav Med. 2007, 34: 287-294. 10.1007/BF02874553.View Article
- Kahn JA, Huang B, Gillman MW, Field AE, Austin SB, Colditz GA, Frazier AL: Patterns and determinants of physical activity in U.S. adolescents. J Adolesc Health. 2008, 42: 369-377. 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2007.11.143.View Article
- Goran MI, Gower BA, Nagy TR, Johnson RK: Developmental changes in energy expenditure and physical activity in children: evidence for a decline in physical activity in girls before puberty. Pediatrics. 1998, 101: 887-891. 10.1542/peds.101.5.887.View Article
- Neumark-Sztainer D, Story M, Hannan PJ, Tharp T, Rex J: Factors associated with changes in physical activity: a cohort study of inactive adolescent girls. Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2003, 157: 803-810. 10.1001/archpedi.157.8.803.View Article
- Nader PR, Bradley RH, Houts RM, McRitchie SL, O’Brien M: Moderate-to-vigorous physical activity from ages 9 to 15 years. JAMA. 2008, 300: 295-305. 10.1001/jama.300.3.295.View Article
- Kwon S, Janz KF, Burns TL, Levy SM: Effects of adiposity on physical activity in childhood: Iowa Bone Development Study. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 2011, 43: 443-448.View Article
- Corder K, Ekelund U, Steele RM, Wareham NJ, Brage S: Assessment of physical activity in youth. J Appl Physiol. 2008, 105: 977-987. 10.1152/japplphysiol.00094.2008.View Article
This article is published under license to BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.