| VPA/MVPA | P trend* | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0% |  > 0% to ≤ 30% |  > 30% | |
Incident CVD | ||||
Cases/10,000 person-years | 90 | 73 | 66 | Â |
Model 1 | 1 [ref.] | 0.80 (0.78–0.82) | 0.79 (0.77–0.81) |  < 0.001 |
Model 2 | 1 [ref.] | 0.88 (0.86–0.91) | 0.89 (0.86–0.92) |  < 0.001 |
CHD | ||||
  Cases/10,000 person-years | 66 | 53 | 49 |  |
  Model 1 | 1 [ref.] | 0.79 (0.77–0.82) | 0.79 (0.77–0.82) |  < 0.001 |
  Model 2 | 1 [ref.] | 0.87 (0.84–0.90) | 0.89 (0.86–0.93) |  < 0.001 |
HF | ||||
  Cases/10,000 person-years | 21 | 14 | 12 |  |
  Model 1 | 1 [ref.] | 0.69 (0.66–0.74) | 0.67 (0.63–0.71) |  < 0.001 |
  Model 2 | 1 [ref.] | 0.83 (0.78–0.88) | 0.78 (0.72–0.84) |  < 0.001 |
Stroke | ||||
  Cases/10,000 person-years | 17 | 14 | 13 |  |
  Model 1 | 1 [ref.] | 0.86 (0.81–0.92) | 0.86 (0.81–0.91) |  < 0.001 |
  Model 2 | 1 [ref.] | 0.93 (0.88–0.99) | 0.93 (0.86–1.00) | 0.064 |
All-cause mortality | ||||
Cases/10,000 person-years | 58 | 41 | 37 | Â |
Model 1 | 1 [ref.] | 0.72 (0.69–0.74) | 0.71 (0.69–0.74) |  < 0.001 |
Model 2 | 1 [ref.] | 0.81 (0.78–0.84) | 0.82 (0.79–0.85) |  < 0.001 |
CVD mortality | ||||
  Cases/10,000 person-years | 10 | 7 | 7 |  |
  Model 1 | 1 [ref.] | 0.65 (0.60–0.71) | 0.73 (0.67–0.79) |  < 0.001 |
  Model 2 | 1 [ref.] | 0.77 (0.70–0.84) | 0.86 (0.77–0.96) | 0.019 |