The effects of hypothetical behavioral interventions on the 13-year incidence of overweight/obesity in children and adolescents

Table 4 Population 6-year risk estimates of overweight/obesity using the g-formula in subgroup of 2203 children with accelerometer data

Observed risk: 17.8	Risk (%)	95% LCL	95% UCL	Population risk ratio	95% LCL	95% UCL	Population risk difference	95% LCL	95% UCL	Cumulative % intervened^a	Average % intervened^b
Natural course	18.1	16.6	21.0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	0.0
All subjects perform at least 60 min MVPA	16.0	14.3	19.3	0.89	0.81	0.96	-2.06	-3.7	-0.8	88.3	79.3
Intervene only in subjects with low/medium parental ISCED	17.6	16.0	20.6	0.97	0.93	1.01	-0.50	-1.35	0.25	34.7	30.8
Intervene only in subjects with mother's BMI > 25 kg/m2	17.5	15.6	20.1	0.96	0.92	0.99	-0.65	-1.45	-0.23	20.0	17.6
All subjects not meeting recommendation increase MVPA by 15 min	16.6	15.0	19.7	0.92	0.87	0.97	-1.50	-2.65	-0.6	88.3	79.3
Intervene only in subjects with low/medium parental ISCED	17.7	16.1	20.6	0.98	0.95	1.01	-0.35	-0.91	0.15	34.7	30.8
Intervene only in subjects with mother's BMI > 25 kg/m2	17.6	16.0	20.2	0.97	0.95	0.99	-0.47	-0.96	-0.16	20.0	17.6

Hypothetical interventions on entire subgroup as well as on children of parents with low/medium ISCED level and children of mother’s with BMI > 25 kg/m² at baseline using data from W0 to W2. Model allowing contemporaneous effects of exposures on the outcome
^aThe cumulative percent intervened on is the percent of the population required to change behavior in at least one wave
^bThe average percent intervened on is the average, across all waves, of the percent of the study population required to change behavior in a given wave

ISSN: 1479-5868