Table 4 Odds ratios to predict stability of physical activity levels. Pooled analysis

Odds ratio (95% confidence interval)

MVPA model

Age at follow-up (years)

<20%tile^a

1.1 (1.1, 1.2)

1.1 (1.0, 1.2)

1.1 (1.0, 1.2)

1.0 (1.0, 1.1)

1.2 (1.1, 1.3)

1.1 (1.0, 1.2)

20- < 80%tile^a

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

≥80%tile^a

1.0 (0.9, 1.0)

0.9 (0.9, 1.0)

1.0 (1.0, 1.1)

0.9 (0.9, 1.0)

1.0 (0.9, 1.0)

0.9 (0.8, 0.9)

Follow-up duration (years)

<20%tile^a

1.1 (1.0, 1.3)

1.1 (0.9, 1.2)

1.1 (0.9, 1.3)

1.1 (0.9, 1.3)

1.3 (1.1, 1.6)

1.0 (0.9, 1.3)

20- < 80%tile^a

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

≥80%tile^a

0.9 (0.8, 1.1)

0.9 (0.8, 1.0)

1.0 (0.8, 1.2)

0.9 (0.8, 1.1)

0.8 (0.7, 1.0)

0.8 (0.6, 0.9)

<20%tile^b

<20%tile^a

3.4 (2.7, 4.3)

2.6 (2.1, 3.3)

2.7 (2.1, 3.4)

2.8 (2.3, 3.6)

1.8 (1.4, 2.3)

1.9 (1.4, 2.4)

20- < 80%tile^b

20- < 80%tile^a

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

≥80%tile^b

≥80%tile^a

2.9 (2.3, 3.6)

2.4 (1.9, 3.0)

2.5 (2.0, 3.2)

1.6 (1.2, 2.0)

1.9 (1.4, 2.5)

1.7 (1.3, 2.2)

VPA model

Age at follow-up (years)

<20%tile^c

1.0 (1.0, 1.1)

1.1 (1.0, 1.1)

1.0 (1.0, 1.1)

1.1 (1.0, 1.1)

1.1 (1.1, 1.2)

1.1 (1.1, 1.2)

20- < 80%tile^c

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

≥80%tile^c

1.0 (1.0, 1.1)

1.0 (0.9, 1.0)

1.0 (1.0, 1.1)

1.0 (0.9, 1.0)

1.0 (0.9, 1.0)

0.9 (0.9, 1.0)

Follow-up duration (years)

<20%tile^c

1.1 (0.9, 1.3)

1.0 (0.9, 1.2)

1.0 (0.9, 1.2)

1.1 (0.9, 1.3)

1.4 (1.1, 1.7)

1.2 (1.0, 1.4)

20- < 80%tile^c

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

≥80%tile^c

1.0 (0.8, 1.2)

1.0 (0.8, 1.1)

1.0 (0.8, 1.2)

1.0 (0.8, 1.1)

0.9 (0.7, 1.1)

0.9 (0.7, 1.0)

<20%tile^d

<20%tile^c

2.4 (1.9, 3.0)

2.5 (2.0, 3.2)

2.1 (1.6, 2.6)

2.6 (2.1, 3.2)

1.8 (1.4, 2.3)

1.8 (1.4, 2.4)

20- < 80%tile^d

20- < 80%tile^c

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

Ref.

≥80%tile^d

≥80%tile^c

3.9 (3.1, 4.9)

1.9 (1.5, 2.4)

3.9 (3.1, 5.0)

1.8 (1.4, 2.2)

1.8 (1.3, 2.3)

1.3 (1.0, 1.7)