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Table 3 Time-stable predictors of trajectory class membership (n = 4952)

From: Trajectories of self-reported physical activity and predictors during the transition to old age: a 20-year cohort study of British men

 

Light Stable vs. Low Decreasinga

 

Moderate Increasing vs. Low Decreasinga

 
 

OR (95% CI)b

p value

OR (95% CI)b

p value

Socio-demographic factors

Baseline age (per year increase)

0.97 (0.95, 0.98)

<0.001

0.94 (0.92, 0.96)

<0.001

Occupational class

Manual (ref. non-manual)

1.10 (0.88, 1.37)

0.401

0.60 (0.48, 0.74)

<0.001

Marital status

Married (ref. single)

1.41 (0.84, 2.39)

0.197

2.14 (1.22, 3.75)

0.008

Widowed/Divorced (ref. single)

1.98 (0.96, 4.08)

0.064

2.58 (1.20, 5.55)

0.015

Number of children

≥1 child (ref. no children)

1.42 (1.13, 1.78)

0.003

1.45 (1.15, 1.81)

0.001

Region

Midlands (ref. south)

0.67 (0.49, 0.92)

0.014

0.68 (0.49, 0.94)

0.018

North (ref. south)

0.71 (0.55, 0.91)

0.008

0.70 (0.55, 0.90)

0.005

Scotland (ref. south)

0.71 (0.49, 1.04)

0.076

1.25 (0.88, 1.78)

0.210

Health and Lifestyle Factors

Overweight/Obese (ref. healthy BMI)

0.79 (0.64, 0.98)

0.031

0.66 (0.54, 0.81)

<0.001

Arthritis (ref. no arthritis)

0.60 (0.44, 0.83)

0.002

0.54 (0.38, 0.76)

<0.001

Bronchitis (ref. no bronchitis)

0.74 (0.57, 0.97)

0.026

0.62 (0.47, 0.82)

<0.001

High blood pressure (ref. normal blood pressure)

0.71 (0.52, 0.97)

0.034

0.67 (0.48, 0.92)

0.014

Suffers breathlessness (ref. no breathlessness)

0.30 (0.19, 0.48)

<0.001

0.14 (0.06, 0.29)

<0.001

Suffers chest pain (ref. no chest pain)

0.74 (0.48, 1.13)

0.159

0.64 (0.40, 1.02)

0.061

Current/ex-smoker (ref. non-smoker)

0.42 (0.34, 0.52)

<0.001

0.31 (0.24, 0.39)

<0.001

Alcohol consumption

Occasional (ref. none)

1.29 (0.83, 2.02)

0.260

1.47 (0.89, 2.43)

0.133

Light (ref. none)

1.50 (0.96, 2.35)

0.075

2.73 (1.67, 4.45)

<0.001

Moderate (ref. none)

1.27 (0.81, 1.99)

0.294

2.15 (1.31, 3.53)

0.003

Heavy (ref. none)

1.55 (0.92, 2.61)

0.099

2.30 (1.30, 4.07)

0.004

Dietary habits

Occasional breakfast cereal (ref. none)

2.13 (1.49, 3.05)

<0.001

2.13 (1.50, 3.03)

<0.001

Regular breakfast cereal (ref. none)

1.57 (1.25, 1.98)

<0.001

1.66 (1.32, 2.08)

<0.001

  1. aLow decreasing (reference group). bModels adjusted for employment status and number of CVD diagnoses as time-varying covariates, and occupational class, marital status, number of children, region, BMI, arthritis, bronchitis, blood pressure, breathlessness, chest pain, smoking status, alcohol consumption and breakfast consumption at baseline