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Table 2 Description of the methodological quality, design elements and additional analyses

From: A systematic review of the effect of infrastructural interventions to promote cycling: strengthening causal inference from observational data

Reference (country)

Quality criteria [19]a

Methodological items [12]b

Study designc

Participation and representativeness

Comparability at baseline

Credibility of data collection methods

Retention

Attributability of effect to intervention

Multiple comparison groups

Complementing research methodologies

Cycling behavior

Aittasalo [23] (Finland)

C

Participation: 49%

Only limited data was available regarding the working-age population in the region. The study population was broadly representative with the general adult population in the region

No comparison group

Survey: no info on validity

45%

• Half of the workplaces went through economic problems and workforce adjustment during the study

No other comparison groups

• Published protocol

• Survey among employees

• Safety monitoring

• Count data

Aldred [24] (UK)

A

Participation: 2% There was an underrepresentation of 16 to 24 year olds, non-white individuals and unemployed individuals. Participants were more likely to have a car or van in the household, and to have cycled

Comparisons groups were broadly comparable. Adjusted for a wide range of variables

7-day recall instrument with acceptable validity

50%

• Dose response effects were reported

• The first interventions were targeting areas perceived as more receptive to cycling and walking interventions

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

Brown [25] (US)

A

Participation: 29% Representativeness was not shown

Adjusted for some of the characteristics in which the groups significantly differed at baseline

GPS and accelerometer data, using validated algorithm

59%

• Multiple improvements to other nearby infrastructure

• Spill-over effect occurred: control residents were exposed to the intervention

No other comparison groups

• Published protocol

• Survey among residents

Health indicators:

• Energy expenditure

• BMI

Brown [26] (US)

C

Same as above

No comparison group

Same as above

Same as above

No comments made

No other comparison groups

Same as above

Burbidge and Goulias [27] (US)

C

Participation was not shown. Study population was older, had less cars in the household and were more often unemployed

No comparison group

1-day activity diary, modified from a validated household activity diary

56%

No comments made

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents and new residents

• Intercept survey

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

Chowdhury [28] (New Zealand)

C

Participation was not shown. Study population was representative

No comparison group

Survey, methods not described

Not applicable

No comments made

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

Crane [29] (Australia)

A

Participation was not shown. Study population was higher educated and more physically active than the general population

Adjusted for some of the characteristics in which the groups significantly differed

Survey: no info on validity

Travel diary: no info on validity

48%

• No dose response effects were observed

• Suburbs furthest away from the cycle way were quite diverse in infrastructure

• Spill-over effect occurred: users of the cycle way included participants living in control areas

No other comparison groups

• Published protocol

• Survey among residents

• Count data

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

• Quality of life

Deegan [30] (UK)

C

Participation and representativeness were not shown

No comparison group

Census data, methods not described

Not applicable

• Congestion charge and bombings on public transport resulted in sharp increases in cycling levels

• The increase in cycling in the intervention areas was larger than observed in other areas

• Safety monitoring

Dill [31] (US)

A

Participation: 3% Representativeness was not shown

Adjusted for variables that were tested to be significant

GPS and accelerometer data, shown to successfully predict 79% of the cycling trips

72%

• The city may have chosen to install bicycle boulevards in areas where residents were supportive of new cycling infrastructure

• Unknown changes in the physical and social environment in specific areas may have influenced the results

• Data collection by means of GPS and accelerometers may have changed behavior

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

• Count data

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

Evenson [32] (US)

C

Participation: 47% Study population was more highly educated

No comparison group

Non validated method of interviewing

64%

• Questions mentioning the trail were only asked at follow-up and after assessing cycling behavior

• Substitution of physical activity behavior may have occurred

• Comparing users and non-users of the intervention did not change the results

• Survey among residents

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

Goodman [33] (UK)

A

Participation: 16% Study population was broadly representative, except that fewer young adults were included, and they were somewhat healthier, better educated, and less likely to have children

Adjusted for a wide range of variables

7-day recall instrument with acceptable validity

Survey, validated

42%

• Dose response effects were reported

• The increase in cycling was only seen for users of the intervention

• Comparing users and non-users of the intervention showed that the increase in cycling was only seen for users of the intervention

• Published protocol

• Survey among residents

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

Song [34] (UK)

C

Same as above

No comparison group

7-day recall instrument with acceptable validity

Survey, validated

45%

• The increase in cycling may have resulted from the economic crisis, rising fuel costs, and the ageing of the sample

No other comparison groups

Same as above

Hirsch [35] (US)

A

Participation and representativeness were not shown.

Adjusted for a wide range of variables

Census data (before) and a community survey (after): no info on validity

Not applicable

• Dose response effects were reported

• Unknown if people moving into the neighborhood cycle more, or if existing residents change their behaviors

• Other infrastructure changes, including a new light rail service, may have influenced the results

• Historical trends showed that the increase in cycling in the intervention period was larger than in previous years

No other methods used

Krizek [36] (US)

C

Participation and representativeness were not shown.

No comparison group

Census data, methods not described

Not applicable

Many potential factors were listed, but only those with an explanation were listed here:

• Minor other infrastructural improvements were made in the study areas

• Small demographic differences were not the sole explanation of the results

• Intervention areas had already a higher cycling level at baseline. The facilities might be the effect, rather than the cause, of high cycling levels

• The increase in cycling in the intervention area was larger than observed in the area as a whole

No other methods used

Lanzendorf [37] (Germany)

C

Participation and representativeness were not shown.

No comparison group

National travel survey, valid for comparison over time according to the authors

Not applicable

• Hard to disentangle the effects of the infrastructure and marketing campaigns. A combination of both may have the largest impact

• The increase in cycling in the intervention cities was comparable to the change in other big cities, but larger than in the country as a whole

• Document analysis and expert interview to analyze the development of cycling policies

Merom [38] (US)

A

Participation: 48% Representativeness was not shown.

Not adjusted for characteristics in which the groups statistically differed at baseline

Telephone interviews, validated

79%

No comments made

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

• Bike counts

• Campaign reach

Panter [39] (UK)

A

Participation was not shown.

The sample contained a higher percentage of woman, older adults and those with a degree, and a smaller proportion of those who rented their home

Adjusted for a wide range of variables

7-day recall instrument with acceptable validity

Survey, validated

41%

• Dose response effects were reported

No other comparison groups

• Published protocol

• Survey among residents

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

Pedroso [40] (US)

B

Participation and representativeness were not shown

No comparison group

Census data, methods not described

Not applicable

• Several other programs and interventions were implemented during the study period

No other comparison groups

• Safety monitoring

Smith [41] (US)

C

Participation and representativeness were not shown

No comparison group

Methods not described

Not applicable

• The percentage of cyclists using bike lanes declined over time

No other comparison groups

• Safety monitoring

Wilmink and Hartman [42] (The Netherlands)

A

Participation and representativeness were not shown

No information on comparability

Home interview, no info on validity

Not shown

• There was no change observed in total mobility over time

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

• Bike counts

Usage of the infrastructure

Aittasalo [23] (Finland)

C

Not applicable

No comparison group

Automatic counters: 4 locations, continuous measurements for 2 years

Not applicable

• Half of the workplaces went through economic problems and workforce adjustment during the study

No other comparison groups

• Published protocol

• Survey among employees

• Safety monitoring

• Cycling behavior

Barnes [43] (US)

C

Not applicable

No comparison group

54 h of video observations: before and after at 1 location, 6 days, 4.5 h per day

Not applicable

• No unusual weather or traffic patterns were observed

• It is unclear whether cyclist simply changed their routes

No other comparison groups

• Safety monitoring

Crane [29] (Australia)

B

Not applicable

No comparison group

Automatic counters: 2 locations, measurements in October for 3 years on weekdays, 6 h per day

Not applicable

• Results may reflect population growth

• The increase in cyclists was only seen in the intervention area, while it decreased in the city as a whole

• Historical trends in the number of cyclists were comparable between the intervention areas and the city as a whole

• Published protocol

• Survey among residents

• Cycling behavior

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

• Quality of life

Dill [31] (US)

C

Not applicable

No comparison group

Not described in the paper

Not applicable

• Unknown changes in the physical and social environment in specific areas

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

• Cycling behavior

Health indicators:

• Physical activity

Fitzhugh [44] (US)

A

Not applicable

Broadly comparable

72 h of direct observations: before and after at 3 locations, 2 days, 6 h per day

Not applicable

• Study neighborhoods were not exposed to any marketing or awareness campaigns

• Spill-over effect may have occurred: people cycling may not live in the intervention neighborhood

No other comparison groups

No other methods used

Goodno [45] (US)

C

Not applicable

No comparison group

Not described in the paper

Not applicable

• Weather conditions and seasonality may have influenced the results

• The increase in cyclists in the intervention area was larger than in the city as a whole

• Survey among residents

• Survey among business owners

• Safety monitoring

• Intercept survey

Hans [46] (Denmark)

B

Not applicable

No comparison group

Automatic counters calibrated by visual/manual counts: 2 locations, continuous measurements for 3 years

Not applicable

• Most of the increase in cyclists can be attributed to switching from alternative routes

No other comparison groups

• Intercept survey

Heesch [47] (Australia) - direct observations

C

Not applicable

No comparison group

7.5 h of direct observations:

Before: 1 location, 1 day, 2.5 h

After: 2 locations, 1 day, 2.5 h

Not applicable

• The findings suggest some shifting of cyclist

No other comparison groups

• Intercept survey

• Mobile phone application to capture movements of cyclists

Heesch [47] (Australia) - mobile phone application

A

Only 10% of the population uses the app, and those were not representative of the broader cycling community

Comparison streets were all connecting the suburbs and the city center

1 year counts made by a mobile phone application: 4 locations, continuous measurement for 1 year

Not applicable

• The findings suggest some shifting of cyclist

• The increase in people using the app may have influenced the results

• Data on trips was analyzed, and it is unknown if the same cyclists were travelling more frequent, or if more cyclists were travelling

No other comparison groups

• Intercept survey

• Direct observations

Law [48] (UK)

C

Not applicable

No comparison group

Before: direct observations: 21 locations, 1 day, 10 hAfter: automatic counters: 21 locations, 1 day,12 h

Not applicable

• The intervention effect is likely to be over-estimated due to seasonal differences

• Change in data collection methods may have influenced the results

No other comparison groups

• Safety monitoring

Marques [49] (Spain)

B

Not applicable

No comparison group

Counts data, no description of the protocol

Not applicable

• Changes in population were not meaningful

• Changes in data procedures over time may have influenced the results

No other comparison groups

• Safety monitoring

McCartney [50] (UK)

B

Not applicable

No comparison group

560 h of digital video recordings manually checked: before and after at 5 locations, 4 days, 14 h

Not applicable

• Displacement effects were observed

• Weather and seasonality may have influenced the results

• Traffic conditions may have influenced the results

• The relative increase in cyclists in the intervention area was larger than in the city as a whole

No other methods used

Merom [38] (US)

B

Not applicable

No comparison group

Automatic counters: 4 locations, continuous measurements for 5 months

Not applicable

No comments made

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

• Cycling behavior

• Campaign reach

Nguyen [51] (Singapore)

A

Not applicable

No information on comparability

Direct observations: few weekdays during peak periods, no precise description of the protocol

Not applicable

• Shifting of routes was observed

• No major change in land use

• Possibly reverse causation since segments that were improved had a high demand before the intervention

• The increase in cyclists was even larger on segments that were already improved before start of the current study

• Survey among residents

• Intercept survey

Parker [52] (US)

C

Not applicable

No comparison group

216 h of direct observations; Before: 1 location, 10 days, 9 h

After: 1 location, 14 days, 9 h

Not applicable

• Displacement from other streets may have occurred

• It is possible that more people ride a bike because of the rising costs of car ownership

• The population increase may have influenced the results, but it is unlikely that this explains the total change in cycling

No other comparison groups

No other methods used

Parker [53] (US)

A

Not applicable

No information on comparability

660 h of direct observations: before and after at 3 location, 10 days, 11 h

Not applicable

• Some displacement of cyclists from nearby streets was observed

• Change in population size is unlikely to be the reason for the increase in cycling

No other comparison groups

No other methods used

Wilmink and Hartman [42] (The Netherlands)

A

Not applicable

No comparison group

Count data, no description of the protocol: 250 locations

Not applicable

• Population growth may have influenced the findings

No other comparison groups

• Survey among residents

• Cycling behavior

  1. aNone of the studies was a randomized experiment, therefore randomization was not applicable for any of the studies and was not shown.
  2. bNone of the studies presented data for neutral outcomes that were hypothesized to be unaffected by the new infrastructure designed to promote cycling, therefore this parameter was not shown.
  3. cA = controlled before-after study; B = uncontrolled study with at least two before and two after data points; C = uncontrolled study with only 1 before and after data point