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Table 2 Intervention effects applied in the basecase and sensitivity analysis scenarios, based on household weekly calorie reduction from the TfL study [13]

From: The health, cost and equity impacts of restrictions on the advertisement of high fat, salt and sugar products across the transport for London network: a health economic modelling study

Population

Household reduction in calories per week (data)

Individual reduction in calories per day (model)

Mean individual reduction during first 12 months

BMI (kg/m2)

SBP

(mm Hg)

Total Chol (mmol/l)

HbA1c (%)

Basecase

NS-SEC: High

586.6

32.2

0.295

0.676

0.0285

0.00273

NS-SEC: Mid

1139.4

62.6

0.575

1.316

0.0555

0.00524

NS-SEC: Low

875.5

48.1

0.470

1.068

0.0452

0.00406

IMD1

N/A

46.8

0.430

0.986

0.0418

0.00407

IMD2

N/A

47.5

0.438

0.995

0.0424

0.00407

IMD3

N/A

50.3

0.464

1.058

0.0447

0.00414

IMD4

N/A

51.2

0.477

1.095

0.0460

0.00430

IMD5

N/A

54.0

0.503

1.150

0.0484

0.00452

Mean

1001.0

50.6

0.469

1.073

0.0453

0.00425

SA1

NS-SEC: High

N/A

55.0

0.483

1.107

0.0467

0.00449

NS-SEC: Mid

N/A

55.0

0.496

1.133

0.0479

0.00449

NS-SEC: Low

N/A

55.0

0.506

1.150

0.0486

0.00433

IMD1

N/A

55.0

0.489

1.117

0.0474

0.00461

IMD2

N/A

55.0

0.490

1.115

0.0474

0.00454

IMD3

N/A

55.0

0.491

1.121

0.0474

0.00438

IMD4

N/A

55.0

0.496

1.137

0.0479

0.00446

IMD5

N/A

55.0

0.497

1.133

0.0478

0.00444

Mean

1001.0

55.0

0.493

1.127

0.0476

0.00446

SA2

Mean

1001.0

50.6

0.493

0

0

0

SA3

Mean

500.5

25.3

0.230

0.526

0.0222

0.00208

SA4

Mean

1001.0

50.6

0.469

1.073

0.0453

0.00425

SA5

Mean

1001.0

50.6

0.469

1.073

0.0453

0.00425

  1. SES Socioeconomic status, BMI Body mass index, SBP Systolic blood pressure, Chol Cholesterol, HbA1c Glycated haemoglobin, SA Sensitivity analysis, SA1 No socioeconomic gradient in calorie input, SA2 No indirect metabolic effects, SA3 Half calorie reduction, SA4 3 year duration of effect, SA5 1 year return to baseline BMI