Table 5 Forecasted changes in occupational, domestic, travel and active leisure PA (MET-hrs/week) for adults (18-60 y)
PA domain | MET-hrs/wk in 1995 | MET-hrs/wk in 2020 using 2006–2011 slope | MET-hrs/wk in 2020 using 2008–2011 slope | MET-hrs/wk in 2020 using 3-year moving averages | Total % change from 1995 to 2020a | MET-hrs/wk in 2030 using 2006–2011 slope | MET-hrs/wk in 2030 using 2008–2011 slope | MET-hrs/wk in 2030 using 3-year moving averages | Total % change from 1995 to 2030a |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Occupational PA | |||||||||
All Adults | 112.8 | 112.0 | 106.0 | 115.5 | 0.8 | 107.7 | 95.1 | 115.5 | −1.1 |
Males | 137.4 | 129.1 | 131.7 | 135.8 | −3.6 | 121.5 | 126.8 | 135.8 | −6.3 |
Females | 89.8 | 95.6 | 83.7 | 96.3 | 6.8 | 94 | 69.2 | 96.3 | 5.9 |
Domestic PA | |||||||||
All Adults | 90.5 | 78.4 | 62.1 | 75.4 | −15.0 | 80.6 | 46.9 | 75.4 | −13.8 |
Males | 45.7 | 44.5 | 34.1 | 40.1 | −7.4 | 48.9 | 27.1 | 40.1 | −2.6 |
Females | 132.3 | 111.3 | 88.7 | 108.9 | −16.8 | 112.3 | 65.5 | 108.9 | −16.4 |
Travel PA | |||||||||
All Adults | 77.9 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 42.6 | −57.3 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 42.6 | −71.0 |
Males | 81.7 | 23.7 | 23.7 | 43.6 | −58.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 43.6 | −72.9 |
Females | 74.5 | 24.2 | 24.2 | 41.4 | −56.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 41.4 | −69.4 |
Active leisure PA | |||||||||
All Adults | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 28.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 25.8 |
Males | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
Females | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 77.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 87.9 |
Total PA | |||||||||
All Adults | 282.9 | 216.5 | 216.5 | 235.7 | −20.1 | 192.9 | 193.0 | 235.7 | −24.2 |
Males | 267.2 | 199.8 | 199.7 | 222.3 | −21.0 | 173.2 | 173.1 | 222.3 | −26.0 |
Females | 297.6 | 232.9 | 232.7 | 248.2 | −19.2 | 212.5 | 212.4 | 248.2 | −22.6 |