Table 4 The Impact Of Health-Related Claims (HRCs), In Different Regulatory Scenarios, On Uk Mortality From Non-Communicable Diseases (95% Uncertainty Intervals)
‘HRCs restricted’ models | ‘HRCs restricted & reformulated’ models | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deaths averted or delayed: | 1a – FSANZ NPSC | 2a - EU model | 1b – FSANZ NPSC | 2b - EU model |
Total | −258 (−6509, 8706) | − 782 (− 6800, 7705) | 4374 (− 2569, 14,009) | 3151 (− 3783, 12,296) |
Male | − 277 (− 3582, 4460) | − 481 (− 3662, 3970) | 2363 (− 1347, 7455) | 1743 (− 1960, 6583) |
Female | 19 (− 2946, 4286) | − 301 (− 3134, 3712) | 2011 (− 1259, 6533) | 1408 (− 1843, 5795) |
Deaths averted or delayed by cause: | ||||
Cardiovascular disease | −347 (− 5565, 6946) | − 573 (− 5539, 6308) | 4078 (− 1708, 12,085) | 3136 (− 2793, 10,710) |
Cancer | 89 (− 1236, 2030) | − 209 (− 1511, 1681) | 295 (− 1067, 2287) | 15 (− 1388, 2039) |
Deaths averted or delayed by behavioural risk factor: | ||||
Fruit and vegetables | 995 (− 4737, 9177) | 290 (− 5179, 8246) | 1198 (− 4729, 9478) | 656 (− 5394, 9068) |
Fibre | − 366 (− 1989, 2651) | −750 (− 2275, 1815) | 982 (− 1295, 5045) | 319 (− 1723, 3793) |
Fats | − 1025 (− 1768,-349) | − 787 (− 1541, − 71) | 182 (−947, 1229) | 180 (− 922, 1197) |
Salt | 129 (− 579, 1020) | −455 (− 285, 1486) | 2052 (716, 3776) | 2016 (651, 3781) |
Deaths averted or delayed when changes in energy intake are taken into account | ||||
Total | 996 (− 5632, 9519) | −228 (− 6803, 8205) | 9450 (2468, 18,851) | 6795 (− 203, 15,755) |