Incident cases in the reference-scenario
|
#Ref: Reference-scenario
|
2,289,341
|
269,392
|
1,279,684
|
740,265
|
2,385,012
|
908,950
|
1,227,391
|
248,671
|
Intervention-induced health effects (Difference in incident cases between intervention scenarios and reference-scenario)
|
#1: PROMOTE-undifferentiated
|
−3589
|
− 677
|
− 1694
|
− 1218
|
−4381
|
− 1893
|
− 1922
|
− 566
|
#2: PROMOTE-differentiated
|
− 3743
|
− 1045
|
− 1256
|
− 1442
|
− 6220
|
− 4334
|
− 1264
|
−622
|
#3: Downward-gradient
|
− 4172
|
−1045
|
− 2128
|
− 999
|
− 7163
|
−4334
|
− 2463
|
− 366
|
#4: Upward-gradient
|
−5829
|
− 555
|
− 2128
|
− 3146
|
− 4966
|
− 1531
|
−2463
|
− 972
|
#5: Equalizing
|
−31,687
|
− 8380
|
−23,307
|
0
|
− 59,173
|
−37,841
|
−21,332
|
0
|
#6: Guideline
|
−219,783
|
−29,969
|
− 127,878
|
− 61,936
|
−266,496
|
− 112,281
|
− 131,041
|
−23,174
|
Distribution of intervention-induced health gain (Education-specific intervention effects measured against overall intervention effect)
|
#1: PROMOTE-undifferentiated
|
100%
|
18.9%
|
47.2%
|
33.9%
|
100%
|
43.2%
|
43.9%
|
12.9%
|
#2: PROMOTE-differentiated
|
100%
|
27.9%
|
33.6%
|
38.5%
|
100%
|
69.7%
|
20.3%
|
10.0%
|
#3: Downward-gradient
|
100%
|
25.0%
|
51.0%
|
23.9%
|
100%
|
60.5%
|
34.4%
|
5.1%
|
#4: Upward-gradient
|
100%
|
9.5%
|
36.5%
|
54.0%
|
100%
|
30.8%
|
49.6%
|
19.6%
|
#5: Equalizing
|
100%
|
26.4%
|
73.6%
|
0.0%
|
100%
|
63.9%
|
36.1%
|
0.0%
|
#6: Guideline
|
100%
|
13.6%
|
58.2%
|
28.2%
|
100%
|
42.1%
|
49.2%
|
8.7%
|
Proportion of the maximal achievable health gain (Intervention-induced health effects in scenarios #1 to #5 measured against intervention-induced health effects in scenario #6)
|
#1: PROMOTE-undifferentiated
|
1.6%
|
2.3%
|
1.3%
|
2.0%
|
1.6%
|
1.7%
|
1.5%
|
2.4%
|
#2: PROMOTE-differentiated
|
1.7%
|
3.5%
|
1.0%
|
2.3%
|
2.3%
|
3.9%
|
1.0%
|
2.7%
|
#3: Downward-gradient
|
1.9%
|
3.5%
|
1.7%
|
1.6%
|
2.7%
|
3.9%
|
1.9%
|
1.6%
|
#4: Upward-gradient
|
2.7%
|
1.9%
|
1.7%
|
5.1%
|
1.9%
|
1.4%
|
1.9%
|
4.2%
|
#5: Equalizing
|
14.4%
|
28.0%
|
18.2%
|
0.0%
|
22.2%
|
33.7%
|
16.3%
|
0.0%
|
#6: Guideline
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|
100.0%
|